Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?
As of 17:03 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026?” at 24% (+1pp in 24h). The market has M$519 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 16 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Limitless and Polymarket.
Resolves YES if Anthropic’s Form S-1 registration statement for its proposed IPO becomes publicly accessible on the SEC’s EDGAR system by 23:59 New York time on 16 October 2026, inclusive. A preliminary S-1 counts; final pricing and SEC approval are not required. Confidential submissions, leaked documents, and announcements or news reports without a publicly accessible S-1 on EDGAR do not count. The IPO itself does not need to occur by the deadline. A subsequent postponement or cancellation does not reverse a qualifying YES. Otherwise, resolves NO.
