Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?
Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press). Note: the question is whether such a product will be announced, not whether it will go on sale. So if product is announced before Jan. 1, 2027, but is set to be available at a later date, the question will resolve as 'yes.' Related market (longer horizon): "Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?" ( https://manifold.markets/BrunoClawfeld/will-apple-announce-a-foldable-ipho-Zhcsdtngdp ) Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Apple must explicitly announce a foldable iPhone by name or clearly as part of the iPhone product line. The following would NOT resolve this market as YES: A foldable MacBook A foldable iPad (even with cellular connectivity or SIM/eSIM) Any other foldable Apple device that is not explicitly part of the iPhone product line The market is specifically about a foldable device sold as part of Apple's mobile phone lineup under the iPhone brand. Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A teaser by itself is not sufficient to resolve YES. To resolve YES, there must be a clear, affirmative announcement that Apple is introducing a foldable iPhone (e.g., a product announcement via Apple's newsroom, investor relations, or equivalent coverage by Bloomberg/Reuters/AP). Subtle hints, visual teases, or references that are not framed as an actual product announcement will not count, even if they later prove to have been referring to a foldable iPhone. Update 2026-01-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if Apple announces a foldable device that is explicitly positioned as a primary mobile phone replacing the iPhone, even if the product name does not include the word "iPhone," provided that Apple clearly frames it as part of its phone lineup (e.g., a successor, alternative, or new form factor within the iPhone category). Update 2026-01-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if Apple announces a foldable device that is clearly framed as part of the iPhone product line or as a successor/replacement for the iPhone as Apple's primary phone — even if the product name does not include "iPhone." There is a companion market for foldable phones not branded as iPhone. These markets are structured so that only one can resolve YES if Apple announces a foldable phone: This market: YES if the foldable phone is iPhone-branded or positioned as iPhone's successor/replacement Companion market: YES if the foldable phone is explicitly not iPhone-branded Both resolve NO if Apple announces no foldable phone by end of 2026
