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Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030

Manifold·Business
United States

As of 23:20 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030” at 85%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

85%
vol cum
M2.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2030
YES 85¢
NO 15¢

Elon Musk recently spoke about a possible idea that Tesla owners would be able to allow their cars to be used for a Tesla-run Uber-like service with completely autonomous driving. If there is a city in the US where members of the public can call this type of service for rides, and the cars are owned by members of the public, before 2030, this resolves YES. Edit 5/2024 to clarify this is about whether the owners can send their cars out to be part of the fleet

timeline
opened · May 17, 2023opencloses · Jan 2, 2030
Tesla based Uber-like service is available in the US for at least some normal Tesla owners before 2030 · prices over time
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