marketsingle market
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
Manifold·Science and Technology
United States
As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?” at 50%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Opinion.

50%
vol cum
M57.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2029
YES 50¢
NO 50¢
Resolves YES if a human sets foot on the moon after 2000 but before 2030. I keep an ordered list of human moon landing markets here: @/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again See also: @/Mqrius/will-spacexs-hls-uncrewed-demo-laun @/Mqrius/will-two-starships-dock-in-orbit-be-4762f93e6882 Artemis 2 timeline: @/Mqrius/will-artemis-ii-launch-before-2026
timeline
opened · Apr 9, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2029