event15 outcomes
Who blew up the Nord Stream 2 pipeline?
Manifold·World·ends Aug 28, 2028
As of 09:46 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 15 markets in “Who blew up the Nord Stream 2 pipeline?” on Manifold are “Serhiy Kuznetsov” at 90%, “Ukraine 🇺🇦” at 78% and “Vladimir Zhuravlev” at 77%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold and Kalshi.
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Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Nord_Stream_pipeline_sabotage Multiple answers will be chosen if more than one actor is involved. “Involved” means has knowledge of the event and contributed to the sabotage prior to its happening. Resolves when there is a clear actor beyond a reasonable doubt.
nord-streamukrainerussia-warpolitics-default
