marketsingle market
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
GermanyRussia

3%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$151.4k
vol 24h
$11
spread
0.00
ends
Dec 31, 2026
Yes 3¢
No 97¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
PoliticsGeopoliticsUkraineForeign PolicyTrumpRussia
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opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026