marketsingle market
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
GermanyRussia

7%
▼ 1.5pp
24h change
vol cum
$124.7k
vol 24h
$24.9k
spread
0.00
ends
Dec 31, 2026
Yes 7¢
No 93¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
UkraineTrumpPoliticsGeopoliticsForeign PolicyRussia
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opened · Nov 5, 2025opencloses · Dec 31, 2026