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US buys Greenland in 2026?

Manifold·Politics
United StatesDenmark
2%
vol cum
M67.1k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES
NO 98¢

Resolution Criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST. Conditions for Resolution: • The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the U.S. government or the government of Denmark/Greenland confirming the transfer of sovereignty or sale of Greenland to the United States. • The agreement must include explicit language of transfer, sale, or annexation of territory. Exclusions: • Military agreements, economic partnerships, or temporary leasing arrangements will not qualify. • Partial purchases or acquisition of limited land for military bases will not count. Primary Sources: • Official government announcements from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland. • Credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC). If no such announcement occurs by the end of the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”

timeline
opened · Dec 25, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
US buys Greenland in 2026? · prices over time
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