US buys Greenland in 2026?
As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “US buys Greenland in 2026?” at 2%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?” on Polymarket, priced at 3%. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Gemini and Kalshi.
Resolution Criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST. Conditions for Resolution: • The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the U.S. government or the government of Denmark/Greenland confirming the transfer of sovereignty or sale of Greenland to the United States. • The agreement must include explicit language of transfer, sale, or annexation of territory. Exclusions: • Military agreements, economic partnerships, or temporary leasing arrangements will not qualify. • Partial purchases or acquisition of limited land for military bases will not count. Primary Sources: • Official government announcements from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland. • Credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC). If no such announcement occurs by the end of the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”
