marketsingle market
Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
United Kingdom

7%
vol cum
M8.1k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2029
YES 7¢
NO 93¢
Resolves No if any of the following actions occur: Keir Starmer fails to form a parliamentary majority in the 2024 election as seen on Wikipedia (2019 equivalent: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_general_election) Keir Starmer resigns or is deposed by a vote of no confidence before the next General Election is scheduled to be held (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election). Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If a general election is held before 2024 and Keir Starmer maintains his parliamentary majority, the question will resolve to a yes. If he loses his parliamentary majority in an early election, the question will resolve to a no.
timeline
opened · Feb 15, 2024opencloses · Dec 31, 2029