Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?” at 1%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, Gemini and Predict.
Resolves No if any of the following actions occur: Keir Starmer fails to form a parliamentary majority in the 2024 election as seen on Wikipedia (2019 equivalent: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_general_election) Keir Starmer resigns or is deposed by a vote of no confidence before the next General Election is scheduled to be held (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election). Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If a general election is held before 2024 and Keir Starmer maintains his parliamentary majority, the question will resolve to a yes. If he loses his parliamentary majority in an early election, the question will resolve to a no.
