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event6 outcomes

Which party will win the next UK general election?

Gemini·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2031

As of 15:56 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, “Labour Party” leads “Which party will win the next UK general election?” on Gemini at 38%, followed by “Reform Party” at 32% and “Conservative Party” at 26%, out of 6 outcomes. The event has no Gemini-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Gemini, Limitless, Opinion and Predict.

vol cum
$43.4k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
6
ends
Jan 1, 2031
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 6

Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes. If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes. Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons. This event is mutually exclusive.

International
marketselected outcome
Labour Party
rank #1
United Kingdom
38¢
vol cum
—
vol 24h
—
spread
0.04
ends
Jan 1, 2031

If the Labour party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times and the House of Commons. If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract terms & conditions.

timeline
opened · Mar 4, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2031
Labour Party · prices over time
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