pdatanews253
event6 outcomes

Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?

Manifold·Elections·ends Jan 2, 2029

As of 14:43 UTC on 27 Oct 2026, “Labour” leads “Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?” on Manifold at 45%, followed by “Reform” at 29% and “Conservatives” at 17%, out of 6 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Limitless, Gemini and Polymarket.

vol cum
M14.9k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
6
ends
Jan 2, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 6

Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from. Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.

electionsuk-politics
marketselected outcome
Labour
rank #1 · resolved: no
United Kingdom
45¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M1.4k
vol 24h
—
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2029
timeline
opened · Jul 25, 2026closedresolved · Nov 3, 2026
Labour · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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