Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
As of 14:43 UTC on 27 Oct 2026, “Labour” leads “Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?” on Manifold at 45%, followed by “Reform” at 29% and “Conservatives” at 17%, out of 6 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Limitless, Gemini and Polymarket.
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from. Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.