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event6 outcomes

Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?

Manifold·Elections·ends Jan 2, 2029
vol cum
M14.3k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
6
ends
Jan 2, 2029
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Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from. Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.

electionsuk-politics
marketselected outcome
Labour
rank #1 · resolved: no
United Kingdom
42¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M1.2k
vol 24h
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2029
timeline
opened · Jul 25, 2026closedresolved · Sep 16, 2026
Labour · prices over time
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