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Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?” at 99%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

99%
vol cum
M26.7k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2031
YES 99¢
NO 1¢

as per the Clay Mathematics Institute: Prove or give a counter-example of the following statement: In three space dimensions and time, given an initial velocity field, there exists a vector velocity and a scalar pressure field, which are both smooth and globally defined, that solve the Navier–Stokes equations. More info: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness This market resolves to YES if the Clay Mathematics Institute (or equivalent organization) agrees that the Navier-Stokes problem has been solved, whether that be proved or disproved as per above by the end of 2030. Otherwise this market resolves to NO.

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opened · Jan 2, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2031
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030? · prices over time
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