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Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold·Science and Technology
As of 23:53 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Apple launch an iPhone with user-replaceable battery by the end of 2026?” at 6%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.
6%
vol cum
M13.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 6¢
NO 94¢
If apple announces it but it is not available for purchase to the general public by close, that won't count.
timeline
opened · Aug 13, 2023opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
