What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?
As of 16:03 UTC on 29 Aug 2026, the highest-priced of the 14 markets in “What will happen as a result of the shooting of Renee Good in the next 2 Years?” on Manifold are “The ICE agent is charged by Minnesota authorities” at 72%, “The office of the Minnesota governor deploys the Minnesota National Guard” at 39% and “ICE kills another civilian” at 39%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi and Predict.
Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will use subjective judgment to determine whether a future ICE civilian killing qualifies as being "as a result of" the prior ICE shooting in Minneapolis. Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer about "medical leave, paid vacation, and required to attend a two-week training program" will be interpreted broadly as the ICE agent receiving a slap on the wrist, rather than requiring exact adherence to the specific details (e.g., exactly two weeks of training). Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Border Patrol is not ICE - for this answer to resolve YES, the killing must be by an ICE agent specifically, not by Border Patrol or other federal agents. Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "ICE kills another civilian" to resolve YES, the creator will use subjective judgment to determine causation. The creator considers that increased tensions between protestors/observers leading to more conflicts leading to someone getting shot would satisfy the "as a result of" requirement.
