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Will Trump livestream an execution?

Manifold·Politics

As of 01:33 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Trump livestream an execution?” at 26% (-14pp in 24h). The market has M$2.8k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

26%
▼ 14.1pp
24h change
vol cum
M3.9k
vol 24h
M2.8k
spread
n/a
ends
Oct 18, 2026
YES 26¢
NO 74¢

Resolves YES if the general American public can obtain live footage of Nidal Malik Hasan being executed. I'll also resolve NO if Trump clearly states that he isn't going through with it.

timeline
opened · Oct 13, 2026opencloses · Oct 18, 2026
Will Trump livestream an execution? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
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