Will Trump die in prison?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 20:07 UTC on 14 Jul 2026, Manifold prices “Will Trump die in prison?” at 5%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

5%

vol cum

M13.4k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2101

Prison, jail, or other types of custody all count. It must be a place he was relocated to under the control of authorities. No due date. US or other nation's custody both count. If he escapes the location of constraint he doesn't count as in jail any longer. If he escapes control within a prison but is still within its confines it counts.