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Will Donald Trump die during his term?
Manifold·Politics
United States
As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Donald Trump die during his term?” at 9%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.
9%
vol cum
M12.8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 20, 2029
YES 9¢
NO 91¢
Will Donald Trump die during his term? For the purposes of this question, this closes on January 20, 2029 regardless of whether Trump has done something to extend his term, postpone elections, etc… Cause of death does not matter, if he’s dead he’s dead.
timeline
opened · May 4, 2025opencloses · Jan 20, 2029
