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event12 outcomes
When will Donald Trump die?
vol cum
M13.7k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
12
ends
Jan 22, 2036
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 12
This is a cumulative probability market. Therefore, for example, if Trump dies in 2027, "Before 2026" and "Before 2027" resolve NO, and "Before 2028", "Before 2029", etc. will all resolve YES. Answers will resolve early when time runs out and Trump has not yet died. For example, "Before 2026" will resolve NO if Trump has not died and 2026 has begun. There may be a delay before resolution to confirm that Trump has not died.
donald-trumptrumps-second-termmagalandpolitics-defaultus-politics
marketselected outcome
Before 2037
rank #1
United States
85¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M211
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 22, 2036
timeline
opened · Aug 30, 2025opencloses · Jan 22, 2036
prices over time · Before 2037 highlighted
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
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