pdatanews294
opentrade on Manifold ↗
event8 outcomes

When will Trump die?

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2047

As of 15:36 UTC on 12 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “When will Trump die?” on Manifold are “After 2025 (79)” at 100%, “After 2026 (80)” at 97% and “After 2027 (81)” at 92%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Kalshi.

vol cum
M12.5k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
8
ends
Jan 1, 2047
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8

The numbers in brackets are the age Trump will be at the end of that year. The options resolve after he has survived that entire year (Eastern Standard Time)

politics-defaulttrumps-second-termmagalanddonald-trumpus-politics
marketselected outcome
After 2025 (79)
rank #1
United States
100¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M863
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2047
timeline
opened · Feb 21, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2047
After 2025 (79) · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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