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event8 outcomes

When will Trump die?

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2047
vol cum
M12.3k
vol 24h
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outcomes
8
ends
Jan 1, 2047
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The numbers in brackets are the age Trump will be at the end of that year. The options resolve after he has survived that entire year (Eastern Standard Time)

politics-defaulttrumps-second-termmagalanddonald-trumpus-politics
marketselected outcome
After 2025 (79)
rank #1
United States
100¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M863
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2047
timeline
opened · Feb 21, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2047
After 2025 (79) · prices over time
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