What is the current probability for "Will Germanys electricity be 80% renewable by the end of 2030?"?

"YES" is currently 74% on Manifold, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/31/2030.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/AHf0ms8Q96KAjkbN09nB. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Manifold

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marketsingle market

Will Germanys electricity be 80% renewable by the end of 2030?

·Climate and Weather

Germany

74%

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

M14.2k

vol 24h

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2030

YES 74¢

NO 26¢

Germanys target is to reach 80% renewable energies within 2030. Will they reach their goal? Current renewable energies production is 47% https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/germanys-2022-renewable-power-production-rises-still-behind-2030-target-2022-12-11/

timeline

opened · Feb 14, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2030

prices over time · Will Germanys electricity be 80% renewable by the end of 2030? highlighted

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