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Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Manifold·Science and Technology
22%
▼ 5.4pp
24h change
vol cum
M18.1k
vol 24h
M9.1k
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
YES 22¢
NO 78¢

Resolves to this site: AI Chatbot Market Share Worldwide | Statcounter Global Stats ChatGPT has steadily held 80% market share according to that site. Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market resolves YES if ChatGPT falls below 75% market share at any point during 2026 (not just at year-end), as measured on the linked Statcounter site for all platforms worldwide. Update 2026-10-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve using the monthly time series from the linked Statcounter site.

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opened · Oct 5, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
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