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What will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?

Manifold·World·ends Dec 31, 2027

As of 19:49 UTC on 12 Sep 2026, “Between 2% and 4%” leads “What will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?” on Manifold at 42%, followed by “Between 4% and 6%” at 35% and “Between 0% and 2%” at 10%, out of 7 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

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M16.1k
vol 24h
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ends
Dec 31, 2027
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Data will be taken from the IMF after the end of Milei presidency (whenever it will be). The predicted real GDP growth for the next three years (as of the question creation date) is 2%. I will add brackets (every 2%) if the forecasts change significantly. I commit not to trade on this question.

argentina2023-argentina-electionjavier-mileilibertarianism
marketselected outcome
Between 2% and 4%
rank #1
Argentina
42¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M513
vol 24h
M0
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n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2027
timeline
opened · Nov 20, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2027
Between 2% and 4% · prices over time
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