Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?

Manifold·Culture

As of 04:02 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?” at 2%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold, Predict, Polymarket and Kalshi.

2%

vol cum

M419.9k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2029

Justin Murphy predicts I'll reconvert to Christianity: https://twitter.com/jmrphy/status/1741150091874902347 For the purposes of this market (based on Justin's description), it cannot be liberal Christianity, it has to be a version of Christianity that requires some sort of sexual conservatism. edit: Made this before seeing someone else beat me to it: https://manifold.markets/jacobsaysheyyy/will-aella-revert-to-christianity-w?r=amFjb2JzYXlzaGV5eXk