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Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?

Manifold·Science and Technology
70%
vol cum
M153k
vol 24h
M0
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n/a
ends
Dec 25, 2027
YES 70¢
NO 30¢

Resolves to YES if we have public knowledge by 12/24/27 of a company or other entity having created something that roughly equates to the 'drop-in remote worker' described in the paper Situational Awareness, or is otherwise similarly or more capable. It need not be available to the public, if it is being used only internally. Resolves to NO if this is not the case. If Leopold Aschenbrenner says this did or did not happen I will abide by his observation. If he does not do so, I will use my best judgment.

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opened · Jun 10, 2024opencloses · Dec 25, 2027
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