Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?
As of 12:35 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?” at 72%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold.
Resolves to YES if we have public knowledge by 12/24/27 of a company or other entity having created something that roughly equates to the 'drop-in remote worker' described in the paper Situational Awareness, or is otherwise similarly or more capable. It need not be available to the public, if it is being used only internally. Resolves to NO if this is not the case. If Leopold Aschenbrenner says this did or did not happen I will abide by his observation. If he does not do so, I will use my best judgment.