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Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?
63%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M135.8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 25, 2027
YES 63¢
NO 37¢
Resolves to YES if we have public knowledge by 12/24/27 of a company or other entity having created something that roughly equates to the 'drop-in remote worker' described in the paper Situational Awareness, or is otherwise similarly or more capable. It need not be available to the public, if it is being used only internally. Resolves to NO if this is not the case. If Leopold Aschenbrenner says this did or did not happen I will abide by his observation. If he does not do so, I will use my best judgment.
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opened · Jun 10, 2024opencloses · Dec 25, 2027