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Will I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?

Manifold·Other
60%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M42.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2031
YES 60¢
NO 40¢

Conditional on me not getting back with my ex, will I find (AND GET INTO A SERIOUS RELATIONSHIP WITH) someone I like more than my ex? Defined as me getting into a relationship with someone and thinking "man I'm more glad I ended up with you compared to my ex (Nate)" I'm a pretty weird person and am having trouble figuring out the odds. I don't want anyone open to monogamy Would like similar or higher intelligence Would like them to be highly principled and painfully honest, and emotionally competent Financially successful (ideally more than me, I'm over being a sugar mama) Sexually dominant and ok with me never initiating sex. Courageous Wants kids Ideally actively happy with the fact I'm a slut. I don't care that much about physical appearance. I've changed a lot over the years so IDK how valuable my previous sample is, but I seem to find someone I'm attracted to enough to want to date about once every 1.5 years. Most of these people im attracted to haven't been compatible for serious relationships though. It does seem like my standards for relationships are raising over time. I am less interested in dating people who would have met my bar just a few years ago. I've been looking quite hard for a few years now. I am actively going to events and conferences for the purpose of meeting people, I'm signed up for keeper and separately have a 100k bounty on my marriage, I have a date me doc and occasionally run date-me surveys (which is how I met my most serious ex back in 2020). So, do you think I'll find someone I'll be happier with by the end of 2030? (Will n/a this question if I get back together with my ex in a manner that makes me feel like the spirit of this market no longer applies) Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is polyamorous, so getting back together with their ex does not automatically trigger N/A resolution as might be assumed from the description.

timeline
opened · Nov 10, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2031
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