Will proof of life of extraterrestrial origin be found by 2100?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 19:29 UTC on 20 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will proof of life of extraterrestrial origin be found by 2100?” at 79%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Manifold and Opinion.

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Dec 31, 2099

This question resolves YES if conclusive evidence is found of any biological life having originated from any other planet. For instance, if dinosaurs or tardigrades are conclusively discovered to have originated from Mars, this question resolves YES. If alien bacterial life is found on other planets conclusively proven not to have originated from Earth, this resolves YES. If by 2100, none of these criteria have been fulfilled, this resolves NO.