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Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece?

Manifold·Culture

As of 10:52 UTC on 30 Aug 2026, Manifold prices “Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece?” at 50%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Predict, Polymarket and Kalshi.

50%
vol cum
M24.9k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2100
YES 50¢
NO 50¢

No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.

timeline
opened · Feb 16, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2100
Will a member of the Straw Hat crew die before they find the One Piece? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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