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opentrade on Manifold ↗
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Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Manifold·Science and Technology
71%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2027
YES 71¢
NO 29¢

This market resolves according to 10% of the employed population. A "chat-style AI model" is defined as any AI system that uses natural language processing to communicate with users in a conversational manner - this can include, but is not limited to, virtual assistants, customer service chatbots, AI writing assistants, and more. A "workflow" is defined as the sequence of industrial, administrative, or other processes through which a piece of work passes from initiation to completion. Developed nations, for the purpose of this market, include countries that are classified as "Developed economies" by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) or the World Bank at the time of market resolution. Specific FAQs: Copilot would not count, ChatGPT would, REPLit's AI would unless it loses it's chat component

timeline
opened · Feb 2, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2027
prices over time · Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027 highlighted
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