Question 1

What is the current probability for "Fable 5.1 VS Astra: Which will I find better?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Manifold odds for "Fable 5.1 VS Astra: Which will I find better?": Astra 89%, Fable 5.1 11% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Oct 2, 2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/IsgAlqQLPQ. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.