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Mammal born from artificial womb by 2030?
Manifold·Science and Technology
As of 23:01 UTC on 4 Jun 2026, Manifold prices “Mammal born from artificial womb by 2030?” at 46%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.

46%
vol cum
M12.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2030
YES 46¢
NO 54¢
Resolves YES if a mammal is gestated completely within an artificial womb and then is born and survives at least 12 hours after being removed from the artificial womb. The womb must be completely artificial, although it can use fluids/chemicals derived from animals (such as blood, et cetera).
timeline
opened · Dec 31, 2022opencloses · Dec 31, 2030