Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 20:11 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?” at 62%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 17 related events on Manifold, Gemini, Predict and Limitless.

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Nov 7, 2028

From https://metaculus.com/questions/11045/democrat-wins-2028-us-presidential-election/ Every 4 years, the United States elects a president with its unique system of the Electoral College. A candidate must secure the majority of Electoral College votes, following the process outlined in the Twelfth Amendment to the US Constitution. The 2028 United States Presidential Election is set to be held on November 7, 2028.