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Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Manifold·Politics
United States
66%
0.4pp
24h change
vol cum
M9.2k
vol 24h
M408
spread
n/a
ends
Feb 22, 2029
YES 66¢
NO 34¢

Resolves Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated president in 2028, presumably after winning the electoral college. Resolves no if a Republican or third party is inaugurated instead.

timeline
opened · Jun 30, 2026opencloses · Feb 22, 2029
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
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