Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 08:25 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?” at 63%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 17 related events on Manifold, Gemini, Predict and Limitless.

Resolves Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated president in 2028, presumably after winning the electoral college. Resolves no if a Republican or third party is inaugurated instead.