Will the US have a female or gender non-conforming president by 2033?

Manifold·Politics

United States

As of 00:51 UTC on 5 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the US have a female or gender non-conforming president by 2033?” at 31%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

31%

vol cum

M4.7k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Feb 1, 2033

They can be president for any length of time. This market closes right after inaguration day 2033. Update 2025-11-01 (PST): - Gender non-conforming applies only if the presentation is clearly intended to look strongly feminine. (AI summary of creator comment)