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Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Manifold·Science and Technology

As of 00:17 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?” at 28%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold and Polymarket.

28%
vol cum
M12.5k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2049
YES 28¢
NO 72¢

in the areas of Physics, Chemistry, Physiology or Medicine, Literature, Economics or Peace.

timeline
opened · Jan 26, 2023opencloses · Dec 31, 2049
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

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