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event5 outcomes

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Manifold·Science and Technology·ends Dec 31, 2026

As of 06:28 UTC on 29 Oct 2026, “SpaceX” leads “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?” on Manifold at 60% (-5pp in 24h), followed by “Anthropic” at 40% (+5pp in 24h) and “OpenAi” at 0%, out of 5 outcomes. The event has M$6.2k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world tracks it alongside markets from 8 prediction-market platforms.

vol cum
M233.9k
vol 24h
M6.2k
outcomes
5
ends
Dec 31, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →

Resolves YES to the company that has the largest market cap by the closing market cap value on IPO day in 2026.

companiestechnology-defaulteconomics-defaultfinancebusiness
marketselected outcome
SpaceX
rank #1
60¢
▼ 4.8pp
24h change
vol cum
M175.8k
vol 24h
M291
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2026
timeline
opened · Jun 29, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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