Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?

·Culture

64%

vol cum

M4k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves subjectively. What this might include is a noticeable split into e.g. longtermist and neartermist. For example, with a large (>10%) minority of members of either groups stopping to identify as part of broader EA generally. Open to hashing out more objective criteria.