Question 1

What is the current probability for "Which game will win Game of the Year at the Game Awards 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Manifold odds for "Which game will win Game of the Year at the Game Awards 2026?": Grand Theft Auto VI 71%, Resident Evil Requiem 9%, Big Walk 6% (top 3 of 15 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Dec 11, 2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/OgdzQl6Stt. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Which game will win Game of the Year at the Game Awards 2026?

similar markets