p|datav0.1news252
opentrade on Manifold ↗
marketsingle market

Will any country grant legal rights to any new "nonhuman" entities (AI, robots, aliens...) before end of year 2040?

Manifold·Science and Technology
54%
vol cum
M2.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2040
YES 54¢
NO 46¢

Do note that animals and plants as we currently know them are not included in the question, as that would result in a trivial market.

timeline
opened · Mar 30, 2024opencloses · Dec 31, 2040
Will any country grant legal rights to any new "nonhuman" entities (AI, robots, aliens...) before end of year 2040? · prices over time
−24h
now
no price history yet
volume · 24h windows
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Manifoldmanifold
Will an AI be granted legal personhood in any country by end of 2030?
yes19¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market
Kalshikalshi
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
yes34¢
$0 24h · 1 market
Polymarketpolymarket
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
yes7¢· 0.0pp
$28 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will any AI be legally recognized by any country's government as being a "person" deserving of some rights before 2029?
yes35¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?
yes33¢
M0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
By 2030, will an AI be officially designated as the patent holder for an invention?
yes24¢
M0 24h · 1 market