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Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Manifold·Science and Technology
39%
vol cum
M11.3k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 2, 2036
YES 39¢
NO 61¢

This is a market about whether a preserved human brain will be digitized (at the resolution of synapses, and with a fidelity estimated at >90% of synapses). This is not for doing anything with the data, just getting it onto a computer. To qualify, the dataset would need to include: the whole connectome (e.g. neurons reconstructed from scanned slices), approximate synapse strength (this comes through in electron microscopy, and certain molecular labeling regimes), the cell type (e.g. Glutamate vs GABA vs dopamine, etc), and the degree of myelination of axons. I believe that this would constitute sufficient information for an accurate emulation of the scanned brain, but determining whether that is true isn't part of this question.

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opened · Feb 14, 2024opencloses · Jan 2, 2036
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