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Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms?

Manifold·Politics
United States
2%
vol cum
M15.8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 6, 2026
YES
NO 98¢

Will the Trump administration send out checks, direct deposit, or any other form of stimulus that they publicly attribute to "money saved by the Department of Government Efficiency" by November 5th, 2026? This will resolve Yes based on the payment going out and being labelled as such, even if the DOGE didn't actually save enough money to pay for it. The spirit of this market is whether such a branding event will happen, not whether it will be economically authentic. Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments. AI edits are not legitimate.

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opened · Feb 19, 2025opencloses · Nov 6, 2026
Will there be a "DOGE Dividend," even if it is actually just mislabelled stimulus, by the 2026 midterms? · prices over time
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