Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026?
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if, at any point on or before December 31, 2026, the trading price of SpaceX Class A Common Stock (Nasdaq: SPCX) drops below $100.00 USD. This includes regular trading hours, pre-market, and after-hours trading. The primary source of truth for the stock price of SPCX will be Yahoo Finance. If a stock split, reverse split, stock dividend, or other recapitalization event occurs, the $100.00 target threshold will be adjusted proportionally (e.g., a 2-for-1 stock split would adjust the target threshold to $50.00). If the stock does not drop below $100.00 (or its split-adjusted equivalent) at any point by the close of the final trading session of 2026, this market will resolve to NO. If SpaceX is acquired, delisted, or ceases to trade prior to the end of 2026 without having dropped below $100.00, the market will resolve to NO. Background SpaceX priced its historic initial public offering (IPO) at $135 per share on June 11, 2026, raising $75 billion and valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. Under the ticker SPCX, the Class A common stock began public trading on the Nasdaq exchange on June 12, 2026. This market tracks whether the stock will fall approximately 26% from its IPO offer price of $135 to reach double digits ($99.99 or lower) at any point during its first several months of trading.