Question 1

What is the current probability for "What will be true about Apple's smart ring?"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Manifold outcomes for "What will be true about Apple's smart ring?" are It won’t have a USB-C port 94%, will support wireless charging  94%, Improved health tracking if you pair it with an apple watch (ie better data if you wear both than either by itself) 85% — 2 of 24 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2030.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from manifold's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/manifold/VFRxwdYRrSWRx5474PK0. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

What will be true about Apple's smart ring?

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