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By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?

Manifold·Science and Technology
43%
vol cum
M265.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2050
YES 43¢
NO 57¢

Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Will resolve based on broad 2050 consensus (scientists, doctors, media) on whether there is a "cure for aging." +20 years life expectancy alone does not count; must materially change the aging process itself. Animal/theoretical-only results don't qualify; requires convincing human evidence (either wide use or a small number of undeniable cases). If longevity increases but it's debated whether aging is "cured," resolution follows expert/public consensus. Aim is to reflect common understanding in 2050, not technicalities. Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If public/media narratives diverge from science, resolution will lean toward the scientific/medical side. If scientists/doctors are split, resolution will follow the balance of credible expert views. Aim is to reflect a reasonable read of the world in 2050, not technicalities.

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opened · Nov 24, 2022opencloses · Dec 31, 2050
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