By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
As of 16:19 UTC on 13 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?” at 46%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold.
Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Will resolve based on broad 2050 consensus (scientists, doctors, media) on whether there is a "cure for aging." +20 years life expectancy alone does not count; must materially change the aging process itself. Animal/theoretical-only results don't qualify; requires convincing human evidence (either wide use or a small number of undeniable cases). If longevity increases but it's debated whether aging is "cured," resolution follows expert/public consensus. Aim is to reflect common understanding in 2050, not technicalities. Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If public/media narratives diverge from science, resolution will lean toward the scientific/medical side. If scientists/doctors are split, resolution will follow the balance of credible expert views. Aim is to reflect a reasonable read of the world in 2050, not technicalities.