Will the next Agent 007 (after "No Time To Die") be black?

Manifold·Culture

As of 09:03 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will the next Agent 007 (after "No Time To Die") be black?” at 4%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Polymarket and Kalshi.

With Daniel Craig saying goodbye to his role as James Bond, many fans of 007 are asking for changes for the franchise, so it can stay relevant in current times. One of such changes might have to do with who plays the British secret agent in future films of the franchise. If 007 is confirmed to be played by a black actor or actress in the first 007 movie to be released after "No Time To Die", this market will be resolved as "Yes". Close date updated to 2023-12-31 11:59 pm