Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

Manifold·Mentions

United States

As of 08:57 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?” at 49%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Manifold, Kalshi and Polymarket.

From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims. Resolves YES if either: An invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky. An identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason. Doesn't matter what the context is. Resolves NO if it doesn't.