Will Half-life 3 be released before the end of 2027?

Manifold·Culture

As of 08:16 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “Will Half-life 3 be released before the end of 2027?” at 20%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi and Predict.

20%

vol cum

M5.8k

vol 24h

M0

spread

n/a

ends

Jan 1, 2028

Other DLC like HL alyx don't count, it can be called something else (not HL 3 necessarily) as long as it's very similar to the original game and made by Valve Update 2025-08-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified the following conditions regarding VR: A VR-only game will not count. A game released on PC or console (even if it also has a VR mode) will count.