Abdul El Sayed Margin Of Victory?
As of 01:36 UTC on 1 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 15 markets in “Abdul El Sayed Margin Of Victory?” on Manifold are “El Sayed wins by any margin” at 79% (+1pp in 24h), “El Sayed 1% or more” at 76% (-1pp in 24h) and “El Sayed 2% or more” at 69%. The event has M$4.4k in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.
Resolution criteria This market resolves based on the official certified general election results published by the Michigan Department of State / Michigan Board of State Canvassers. Can resolve early if reporting from Associated Press has a clear resolution. Margin of victory is calculated as the difference between the percentage of the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed and the percentage received by Mike Rogers (i.e., El-Sayed % - Rogers %), rounded to the nearest tenth of a percentage point. multiple threshold options can resolve YES: El Sayed wins: Resolves YES if Abdul El-Sayed receives more votes than Mike Rogers. Otherwise NO. El Sayed X% or more Resolves YES if El-Sayed's vote share exceeds Rogers's vote share by $X percentage points or greater. (For instance, if El-Sayed wins by 4.2 points, options up through "El Sayed 4% or more” resolve YES, and "El Sayed 5% or more” +" and above resolve NO). Mike Rogers 3% or more: Resolves YES if Mike Rogers's vote share exceeds Abdul El-Sayed's vote share by 3 percentage points or greater (Rogers % - El-Sayed % ≥ 3.0%). Otherwise NO.
