event4 outcomes
Russia coup-nuke combination market
Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2031
As of 06:14 UTC on 25 Jul 2026, “No nuke Ukraine, No coup success” leads “Russia coup-nuke combination market” on Manifold at 93%, followed by “Yes nuke Ukraine, No coup success” at 7% and “No nuke Ukraine, Yes coup success” at 0%, out of 4 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket and Manifold.

vol cum
M21.5k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 1, 2031
outcomesclick to inspect →
A combination of https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-russia-nuke-ukraine and https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-a-coup-or-regime-change-take-p using their resolution criteria. (https://manifold.markets/embed/Gigacasting/will-russia-nuke-ukraine)(https://manifold.markets/embed/MetaculusBot/will-a-coup-or-regime-change-take-p)
politics-defaultnuclearukrainerussia-war