Which of the following parties will be in office on December 31, 2028?
As of 10:22 UTC on 22 Jun 2026, the highest-priced of the 23 markets in “Which of the following parties will be in office on December 31, 2028?” on Manifold are “CCP (China)” at 97%, “BJP (India)” at 94% and “PAP (Singapore)” at 93%. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Limitless, Kalshi, Gemini, Polymarket and Opinion.
Resolves to YES if the party is in power by on December 31, 2028. Resolves to YES if the party is part of the ruling coalition, even if the incumbent president/PM is from a different party. Update 2025-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria Parliamentary Systems: The resolution depends on whether the party is part of the incumbent parliamentary coalition on 12/31/2028. Presidential or Semi-Presidential Systems: The outcome will be based on the president’s coalition on 12/31/2028. Russia’s Specific Case: The resolution will be determined by the parties included in the cabinet of Russia on 12/31/2028.
