p|datav0.1news189
HomeMarketsHubsNews189MapMonitor
menu
HomeMarketsHubsNews189MapMonitor
theme
p|data·synced:Polymarket—Kalshi—Manifold—Predict—Myriad—Opinion—Limitless—Gemini—
hubsaboutmethodologyagentsdocsx© 2026
markets·Politics
opentrade on Manifold ↗
event23 outcomes

Which of the following parties will be in office on December 31, 2028?

Manifold·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2029
vol cum
M6.1k
vol 24h
M0
outcomes
23
ends
Jan 1, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 23

Resolves to YES if the party is in power by on December 31, 2028. Resolves to YES if the party is part of the ruling coalition, even if the incumbent president/PM is from a different party. Update 2025-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria Parliamentary Systems: The resolution depends on whether the party is part of the incumbent parliamentary coalition on 12/31/2028. Presidential or Semi-Presidential Systems: The outcome will be based on the president’s coalition on 12/31/2028. Russia’s Specific Case: The resolution will be determined by the parties included in the cabinet of Russia on 12/31/2028.

politics-defaulteu-politicsgeopoliticsus-politicsuk-politics
marketselected outcome
CCP (China)
rank #1
China
C
97¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M0
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2029
timeline
opened · Aug 9, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2029
prices over time · CCP (China) highlighted
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Manifoldmanifold
Which party wins 2028 election?
Democratic59¢· 0.0ppRepublican41¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 2 markets
Limitlesslimitless
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic60¢· 0.0ppRepublican41¢· 0.0ppOther3¢
$0 24h · 3 markets
Kalshikalshi
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
Democratic party60¢· 0.0ppRepublican party40¢· 0.0pp
$7.3k 24h · 2 markets
Geminigemini
Presidential Election Winner 2028?
Marco Rubio23¢· 0.0ppJD Vance21¢▼ 1.0ppGavin Newsom20¢· 0.0pp
+8 others
$199 24h · 11 markets
Polymarketpolymarket
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
yes7¢▼ 0.5pp
$0 24h · 1 market
Manifoldmanifold
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
yes80¢· 0.0pp
M0 24h · 1 market