Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?

Manifold·Politics·ends Aug 13, 2030

As of 00:40 UTC on 6 Oct 2026, “Samuel Alito” leads “Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?” on Manifold at 50%, followed by “Clarence Thomas” at 28% and “Brett Kavanaugh” at 6%, out of 9 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Gemini, Limitless and Polymarket.