event20 outcomes
Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026
Manifold·Health·ends Jan 31, 2027
As of 19:41 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 20 markets in “Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026” on Manifold are “x ≥ 500” at 100%, “x ≥ 4500” at 100% and “x ≥ 4000” at 100%. The event has M$49 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Predict.
vol cum
M33.7k
vol 24h
M49
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20
ends
Jan 31, 2027
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How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026? If the number of cases x is equal to or greater than the number listed in an option as reported by the Johns Hopkins Measles Tracker, it will resolve to YES. Otherwise, the option will resolve to NO. The market will resolve at the end of January 2027 to allow for lag in reporting.
infectious-diseasemeaslesepidemiology
